Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your decisions for the week.
Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
BYE WEEK: Atlanta, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Buffalo, New Orleans, NY Jets
Three Stars
Quarterbacks
- Jared Goff (Lions)
Running Backs
- Jahmyr Gibbs/David Montgomery (Lions)
- Brian Robinson Jr/Austin Ekeler (Commanders)
- De'Von Achane/Raheem Mostert (Dolphins)
- Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)
Receivers
Team Defense
- Chiefs
Two Stars
Quarterbacks
- Jayden Daniels (Commanders)
- Jalen Hurts (Eagles)
- Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
- Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)
- Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs)
Running Backs
- Saquon Barkley (Eagles)
- Derrick Henry (Ravens)
- Joe Mixon (Texans)
Receivers
- Terry McLaurin/Noah Brown/Zach Ertz (Commanders)
- A.J. Brown/DeVonta Smith/Dallas Goedert (Eagles)
- Zay Flowers/Rashod Bateman/Isaiah Likely/Mark Andrews (Ravens)
- Tyreek Hill/Jaylen Waddle/Jonnu Smith (Dolphins)
- Xavier Worthy/DeAndre Hopkins/Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
Team Defense
- Steelers
One Star
Quarterbacks
- Jordan Love (Packers)
- C.J. Stroud (Texans)
Running Backs
- Josh Jacobs (Packers)
- Joe Mixon (Texans)
Receivers
- Romeo Doubs/Christian Watson/Jayden Reed/Tucker Kraft (Packers)
- Nico Collins/Tank Dell/Dalton Schultz (Texans)
Team Defense
- Texans
- Commanders
- Broncos
