Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your decisions for the week.
Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]
BYE WEEK: Dallas, Chicago
Three Stars
Quarterbacks
- Jayden Daniels (Commanders)
Running Backs
- Brian Robinson Jr/Austin Ekeler (Commanders)
Receivers
- Terry McLaurin/Noah Brown/Zach Ertz (Commanders)
Team Defense
- None
Two Stars
Quarterbacks
- Kirk Cousins (Falcons)
- Sam Darnold (Vikings)
Running Backs
- Bijan Robinson/Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)
- Aaron Jones (Vikings)
- James Cook/Ray Davis (Bills)
Receivers
- Drake London/Darnell Mooney/Ray-Ray McCloud III/Kyle Pitts (Falcons)
- Justin Jefferson/Jordan Addison/Johnny Mundt (Vikings)
Team Defense
- Bills
- Broncos
- Jets
One Star
Quarterbacks
- Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
- Josh Allen (Bills)
- Jordan Love (Packers)
- Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars)
- Matthew Stafford (Rams)
- Brock Purdy (49'ers)
Running Backs
- Derrick Henry (Ravens)
- Josh Jacobs (Packers)
- Tank Bigsby (Jaguars)
- Kyren Williams (Rams)
- Jordan Mason (49'ers)
Receivers
- Zay Flowers/Rashod Bateman/Mark Andrews/Isaiah Likely (Ravens)
- Amari Cooper/Khalil Shakir/Dalton Schultz (Bills)
- Jayden Reed/Romeo Doubs/Christian Watson/Tucker Kraft (Packers)
- Christian Kirk/Brian Thomas Jr./Gabe Davis/Evan Engram (Jaguars)
- Cooper Kupp/Jordan Whittington/Colby Parkinson (Rams)
- Deebo Samuel Sr./Brandon Aiyuk/George Kittle (49'ers)
Team Defense
- Rams
- Jaguars
