Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your decisions for the week.
Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.
Three Stars
Quarterbacks
- Jared Goff (Lions)
Running Backs
- Jahmyr Gibbs/David Montgomery (Lions)
Receivers
Team Defense
- None
Two Stars
Quarterbacks
- Lamar Jackson (Ravens)
Running Backs
- Derrick Henry (Ravens)
- Isiah Pacheco/Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)
Receivers
Team Defense
- None
One Star
Quarterbacks
- Patrick Mahomes II (Chiefs)
- Josh Allen (Bills)
Running Backs
- James Cook (Bills)
Receivers
- Xavier Worthy/Marquise Brown/DeAndre Hopkins/Travis Kelce (Chiefs)
- Khalil Shakir/Amari Cooper/Keon Coleman/Mack Hollins/Dalton Kincaid (Bills)
Team Defense
- Chiefs