Two of my favorite things are Best Ball and Underdog Fantasy, and each week this offseason, I want to share with you my insights on both. With Underdog Fantasy releasing the Best Ball Mania V tournament, excitement has been growing each day ever since. Each week, I want to break down what has changed from the previous week regarding NFL news, Best Ball news, and the top ADP Risers and Fallers on Underdog. It's useful to compare Best Ball to the stock market and day trading stocks, but instead of stocks, we are looking at NFL players, specifically those players' Average Draft Position (ADP). We are constantly wanting to find those players who are of value in our drafts and avoid some of the players who might be overvalued.
Each week, I will use the Underdog ADP tool on 4for4.com to examine the top 3 risers and top 3 fallers at ADP in the early, mid, and late rounds. These shifts in ADP are often driven by the news that week and what some of the major touts in the industry might be saying about said players.
Let's look at the last two weeks worth of data (07/23-7/30) and find the top 3 Risers and Fallers in the following:
- Early Rounds (1-5)
- Mid Rounds (6-12)
- Late Rounds (13-20)
Underdog Best Ball Risers
Top 3 Risers - Early Rounds
- Rashee Rice WR KC +2.0 ADP
- James Cook RB BUF +1.5 ADP
- Anthony Richardson QB IND +1.2 ADP
Top 3 Risers - Mid Rounds
- Alvin Kamara RB NO +2.6
- Chase Brown RB CIN +2.0
- Keon Coleman WR BUF +1.9
Top 3 Risers - Late Rounds
- JK Dobbins RB LAC +3.8
- Michael Wilson WR ARI +3.2
- DJ Chark Jr WR LAC +3.2
The Risers Takeaways: This week's risers see four running backs and four wide receivers, along with a quarterback in Anthony Richardson. The running backs include James Cook, Alvin Kamara, Chase Brown, and JK Dobbins. All four of these backs have had some positive news coming out of training camp this week associated with their names. Cook has Ty Johnson and Ray Davis behind him on the depth chart, but Johnson just got dinged up early in camp. Kamara has Kendre Miller behind him, but Miller is already dealing with a hamstring injury. Chase Brown is said to be getting a majority of first-touch looks early on, and Dobbins is healthy and on the field to start camp.
The wide receivers this week are Rashee Rice, who is still battling potential legal issues; Keon Coleman, who is off to a strong start in camp; Michael Wilson, who is seeing first-team looks; and DJ Chark Jr, who is also seeing first-team opportunities for his team. The risers are continuing to come in based on positive news out of camp and we should continue to see lots of activity from now leading up to the start of the season in the ADP market.
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