Monday Showdown Week 6

Week 6 Showdown between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets

Ben Cummins's Monday Showdown Week 6 Ben Cummins Published 10/13/2024

© Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Monday Update:

James Cook is out this week with a toe injury. Ray Davis becomes a top Captain and flex play. He should be the most popular captain play on this slate given the volume and price. Ty Johnson will also have a role in this game and could be a solid flex play.

Disclaimer

These contests are intended to be fun as you’re watching the game. It’s incredibly difficult to get a real edge as there are so few options, and in MME contests, there are often many duplicate lineups. One play or one penalty can change the entire outcome of the game.

Game Strategy

  • Over/Under: 41
  • Spread: Bills -2.5
  • Bills Implied Team Total: 21.8
  • Jets Implied Team Total: 19.3

This projects as a low-scoring affair. The Bills are favored but the Jets are at home. Lock in Josh Allen and then get weird from there.

Injury Roundup

Captain Consideration

Buffalo Bills Showdown Players

Quarterback

Josh Allen - Captain/Flex

Josh Allen uncharacteristically isn't throwing for many yards this season but he's still getting it done. He ranks sixth at the quarterback position in DraftKings points per game (19.6), seventh in pass touchdowns per game (1.6), and leads a Bills offense that ranks fifth in EPA/Play. Despite the tough projected matchup, the Bills are favorites in this one and it's tough to envision making any lineups without Allen.

 

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Running Back/Wide Receiver/Tight End

James Cook - Flex

James Cook is questionable but expected to play. His game status must be monitored but if he's out there he's a tough fade. Cook is a dual-threat in the fifth-best offense per EPA/Play and ranks fourth in the NFL in total touchdowns (5).

Dalton Kincaid - Flex

Dalton Kincaid has had a disappointing season thus far but he led all Bills in routes run (28) last week on 36 dropbacks. It's simply a matter of time before the talented Kincaid posts a big game.

Keon Coleman - Flex

Keon Coleman led all wide receivers in routes run (26) on 36 dropbacks and brought in a 49-yard touchdown reception in Week 5. He has seen target totals of 4 and 5 over his past two games, respectively, and is a huge key to helping Buffalo unlock their passing offense moving forward.

Curtis Samuel - Flex

Curtis Samuel hasn't produced this season but that makes him a fun tournament play on this one-game Showdown slate. Samuel ran 24 routes last week, just two fewer than Keon Coleman. He saw four targets and received one carry.

New York Jets Showdown Players

Quarterback

Aaron Rodgers - Flex

Aaron Rodgers ranks just 21st in passing yards per game (218.6) and leads a Jets offense that only ranks 25th in EPA/Play. However, in true Rodgers fashion, he's still finding ways to throw touchdown passes despite New York's offensive struggles. Rodgers isn't a must roster by any means but he makes sense in lineups with Garrett Wilson for the stack.

Running Back/Wide Receiver/Tight End

Breece Hall - Captain/Flex

For the most part, Breece Hall has struggled this season. There's no doubt about it. He's only averaging 69 total yards per game, which is inexcusable for a dual-threat that is supposed to be an elite talent. However, his usage is still awesome. Hall ranks 14th in opportunities per game (18.6) and is at home against a Bills defense that only ranks 22nd in Rush EPA Allowed. Don't overreact to a small five-game sample size and go right back to Hall in this one.

Garrett Wilson - Captain/Flex

Rumors regarding Davante Adams joining the Jets continue but for now, Garrett Wilson is the alpha of this passing attack. Wilson saw an insane 23 targets last week, catching 13 of them for 101 yards and 1 touchdown. He's an elite volume play as he leads the league in targets (56).

Braelon Allen - Flex

Braelon Allen has averaged 10.25 opportunities per game from Weeks 2-5. He's a legitimate part of New York's offense and is firmly in flex territory at home against a Bills defense that only ranks 22nd in Rush EPA Allowed. One fun way of getting unique is playing both Breece Hall and Allen together in the same lineup.

Allen Lazard - Flex

Allen Lazard is Aaron Rodgers' boy and has been solid this season. He has seen 22 fewer targets and has 13 fewer receptions than Garrett Wilson. Despite this, Lazard has just 52 fewer receiving yards and two more touchdown receptions than Wilson. Lazard will continue to be a major part of the passing attack in this one.

Tyler Conklin - Flex

After a slow start to the season, Tyler Conklin has seen target totals of 6, 8, and 9 over his past three games, respectively. He hasn't scored yet on the season. He's due and projects to be low-owned.

PositionNameSalaryProjected PointsH-ValuePoint/$PlayableCaptain or Flex
QBJosh Allen1100018.328.01.7Captain or FlexCaptain Only
RBJames Cook1020015.221.81.5FlexFlex Only
WRGarrett Wilson1000016.325.21.6Captain or Flex 
RBBreece Hall940016.427.01.7Captain or Flex 
QBAaron Rodgers900015.224.91.7Flex 
WRKhalil Shakir86004.83.50.6  
TEDalton Kincaid82009.612.21.2Flex 
WRAllen Lazard720011.118.01.5Captain or Flex 
WRKeon Coleman68008.512.11.3Flex 
WRMike Williams56006.28.51.1  
RBBraelon Allen54008.615.51.6Flex 
RBTy Johnson52004.04.30.8  
KTyler Bass50006.911.31.4  
DSTBuffalo Bills460010.425.12.3Flex 
KGreg Zuerlein44006.110.41.4  
TETyler Conklin40008.219.02.0Flex 
DSTNew York Jets36008.421.92.3  
RBRay Davis30003.66.21.2Captain or Flex 
WRCurtis Samuel28006.015.92.1  
WRMack Hollins24004.410.81.8Flex 
WRMarquez Valdes-Scantling20002.65.31.3  
TEDawson Knox16001.93.81.2  
TEJeremy Ruckert12001.74.41.5  
WRXavier Gipson6001.03.01.6  
TEQuintin Morris4000.10.10.3  
WRIrvin Charles2000.20.40.8  
RBReggie Gilliam2000.20.81.2  
TEBrenden Bates2000.20.40.8  
RBIsaiah Davis2000.52.52.3  
Photos provided by Imagn Images

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