SCHEDULE TAB
When I look at matchups for this week, these are the matchups that look MOST FAVORABLE from a tackling perspective (with some notes if the matchup is particularly unfavorable for run vs pass):
- BUFFALO (at Detroit) – Lions offense generates 55.4 tackle opps/game (31.5 rush/22 pass)
- NEW ORLEANS (vs Washington) – Commanders offense generates 54.3 tackle opps/game (31 rush/21 pass)
- PHILADELPHIA (vs Pittsburgh) – Steelers offense generates 54.2 tackle opps/game (33 rush/19 pass)
- PITTSBURGH (at Philadelphia) – Eagles offense generates 53.8 tackle opps/game (34 rush/17 pass)
- HOUSTON (vs Miami) – Dolphins offense generates 53.2 tackle opps/game (26.5 rush/24 pass)
- CLEVELAND (vs Kansas City) – Chiefs offense generates 53.0 tackle opps/game (26 rush/24 pass)
In contrast, these matchups look LEAST FAVORABLE from a tackling perspective (with some notes if the matchup is particularly unfavorable for run vs pass):
- NY JETS (at Jacksonville) – Jaguars offense generates 43.8 tackle opps/game (22.5 rush/19 pass)
- DENVER (vs Indianapolis) – Colts offense generates 44.4 tackle opps/game (26 rush/17 pass)
- DALLAS (at Carolina) – Panthers offense generates 45.7 tackle opps/game (24 rush/20 pass)
- JACKSONVILLE (vs NY Jets) – Jets offense generates 46.5 tackle opps/game (21 rush/23 pass)
- TAMPA BAY (at LA Chargers) – Chargers offense generates 47.0 tackle opps/game (26 rush/18 pass)
- DETROIT (vs Buffalo) – Bills offense generates 47.2 tackle opps/game (26.5 rush/20 pass)
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You may also want some help picking out matchups for pass rushers. These are some that look MOST FAVORABLE from a pass-rush perspective:
- MINNESOTA (vs Chicago) – Bears offense allowing 4.1 sacks/game and 7.0 QB hits/game
- KANSAS CITY (at Cleveland) – Browns offense allowing 4.1 sacks/game and 9.9 QB hits/game
- CINCINNATI (at Tennessee) – Titans offense allowing 3.5 sacks/game and 7.2 QB hits/game
- ATLANTA (at Las Vegas) – Raiders offense allowing 3.3 sacks/game and 6.9 QB hits/game
- BALTIMORE (at NY Giants) – Giants offense allowing 3.2 sacks/game and 8.2 QB hits/game
- MIAMI (at Houston) – Texans offense allowing 3.2 sacks/game and 6.4 QB hits/game
- CHICAGO (at Minnesota) – Vikings offense allowing 3.2 sacks/game and 5.6 QB hits/game
- GREEN BAY (at Seattle) – Seahawks offense allowing 3.1 sacks/game and 6.7 QB hits/game
In contrast, here are some matchups that look LEAST FAVORABLE from a pass-rush perspective:
- DETROIT (vs Buffalo) – Bills offense allowing 1.0 sacks/game and 3.2 QB hits/game
- SEATTLE (vs Green Bay) – Packers offense allowing 1.2 sacks/game and 3.8 QB hits/game
- INDIANAPOLIS (at Denver) – Broncos offense allowing 1.5 sacks/game and 3.6 QB hits/game
- NY GIANTS (vs Baltimore) – Ravens offense allowing 1.5 sacks/game and 3.3 QB hits/game
- DALLAS (at Carolina) – Panthers offense allowing 1.7 sacks/game and 5.2 QB hits/game
- DENVER (vs Indianapolis) – Colts offense allowing 1.8 sacks/game and 4.8 QB hits/game
- WASHINGTON (at New Orleans) – Saints offense allowing 1.9 sacks/game and 4.7 QB hits/game
- NY JETS (at Jacksonville) – Jaguars offense allowing 1.9 sacks/game and 4.2 QB hits/game
STAT CREW GRADES
This tab keeps track of tendencies for each stat crew. Each home stadium typically has its own group of stat keepers responsible for assigning tackle details (solo vs solo/assist vs assist/assist) on each play. The table at the top keeps track of Tackles vs Opportunity and compares total tackles awarded (solos plus assists) divided by tackle opportunities (rush attempts plus pass completions plus sacks). This gives you an idea of which crews tend to be more generous or less generous in comparison to everybody else.
Home STADIUMS with MOST GENEROUS stat crews this week include:
- Arizona (vs New England) – 1.280 tackles/opp
- Cleveland (vs Kansas City) – 1.263 tackles/opp
- NY Giants (vs Baltimore) – 1.250 tackles/opp
Home STADIUMS with LEAST GENEROUS stat crews this week include:
- Houston (vs Miami) – 1.170 tackles/opp
- Minnesota (vs Chicago) – 1.186 tackles/opp
- San Francisco (vs LA Rams) – 1.201 tackles/opp
- LA Chargers (vs Tampa Bay) – 1.201 tackles/opp
- New Orleans (vs Washington) – 1.205 tackles/opp
- Philadelphia (vs Pittsburgh) – 1.212 tackles/opp
Some leagues may place a premium on SOLO TACKLES and award more points for them than two assisted tackles. In that case, you'd want to focus on matchups played in STADIUMS that award a high percentage of solo tackles. This week, that would include:
- Tennessee (vs Jacksonville) – 81.0% solos
- Minnesota (vs Arizona) – 77.7% solos
In other cases, you may not want to differentiate between a solo or an assist and want to just focus on total tackles. STADIUMS this week that tend to award the highest percentage of ASSISTS per opportunity are:
- Houston (vs Miami) – 81.0% solos
- Tennessee (vs Cincinnati) – 79.9% solos
- Cleveland (vs Kansas City) – 77.3% solos
- Minnesota (vs Chicago) – 77.3% solos
- Seattle (vs Green Bay) – 77.0% solos
- Las Vegas (vs Atlanta) – 76.8% solos
Hopefully this helps give you some useful information. Please reach out with any questions or feedback.