Fantasy Overview: Week 11

Jeff Haseley explains why some players, who may be on your bench, deserve a start this week. Plus a look at some interesting stats and tidbits from around the league.

Jeff Haseley's Fantasy Overview: Week 11 Jeff Haseley Published 11/12/2024

Fantasy Overview offers a weekly breakdown of key information, stats, and strategies to help you excel in your fantasy league. Stay informed about the ever-changing landscape and gain insights to boost your success.

With 10 weeks of the NFL season in the books, most fantasy football teams have solidified their starting lineups. However, hidden gems on your bench or the waiver wire could still be the difference between a win and a loss. Here is one player from each position who could start for your roster this week that otherwise might not make the weekly starting lineup. 

As you finalize your Week 11 lineup, consider these players who could make a significant impact, especially if you're in a deeper league. Keep an eye on matchups against struggling defenses and emerging talents who could surprise.

Quarterback to Start

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Russell Wilson, Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore

It's hard to believe we're already in Week 11, and the Steelers haven't faced a divisional opponent yet. That changes now, as six of their next eight games will be against AFC North rivals, starting with a home battle against Baltimore. Russell Wilson may not be a mainstay as a fantasy starter. However, surprisingly, he had six touchdowns in his last three games, two of which topped 260 yards in passing. Pittsburgh is not a perennial high-scoring team. They take pride in defense and winning without needing to use the quarterback's arm to do so. Over the last four games (all wins), Pittsburgh has scored 32, 37, 26, and 28 points. To make things more enticing, the Ravens have been atrocious against the pass this season, especially since Week 5, where they have given up 17 passing touchdowns in the last six games with four 325+ passing yard games allowed. The way the Steelers are moving the ball and the struggles the Ravens have endured in the passing defense makes this a matchup to exploit. 

Running Back to Start

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Nick Chubb, Cleveland at New Orleans

Nick Chubb scored in his first game back this season against Cincinnati. However, he has not had much success in the yardage department, with 22, 52, and 39 yards. In the three games since his return, Chubb's team carry share started with 52%, bumped to 70%, and his last game was 63%. The Browns feel comfortable giving him carries, but often, with a severe knee injury like Chubb had, it takes time to regain confidence. Chubb has the benefit of going through rehabilitation before with the same knee. In 2015, in college, he tore the PCL, MCL, and LCL, plus cartilage damage, and he managed to have four 1,000-yard seasons after the injury. He is an older back now and may never be the same player, but he has fought back and insists on regaining his form. His matchup this week at New Orleans could catapult his production. The Saints have had an up-and-down season, but their run defense has been suspect most of the year. The Saints have had five games where running backs scored more than one rushing touchdown. They have surrendered nine rushing touchdowns to running backs in the last five games. Tampa Bay, Denver, Carolina, and Atlanta each had two. Could Cleveland be next on the list to exploit the New Orleans rushing defense? Could this be the game where Nick Chubb shows he still has it? 

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Wide Receiver to Start

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Courtland Sutton, Denver vs. Atlanta

It is time to make Courtland Sutton a weekly start if you're not doing so already. There was some uncertainty this season with how the quarterback position would develop and evolve to allow Denver wide receivers a chance at fantasy glory. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix has shown he can be an effective downfield passer, and Sutton has become his go-to target. He has three touchdowns this season, plus a passing touchdown on a trick play against Baltimore. He has consistently been Nix's top option with noticeable production over the last three games. For the season, Sutton has a 24% team target share, which anything above 20% is considered a good benchmark for whether a player is deemed start-worthy for fantasy purposes. Over the last three games, his team target share has climbed with individual games of 29%, 30%, and 33%. He has scored a touchdown and/or topped 100 yards in each of his last four games played. This week, he and the Broncos will host the Falcons, who have allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season, including 1.2 touchdowns allowed to wide receivers per game. On the road, they have allowed 2.0 passing touchdowns per game. 

Tight End to Start

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Will Dissly, LA Chargers vs Cincinnati

As we stand heading into Week 11, Will Dissly is the current TE23 on the season, however, over the last five games, he is the TE17 despite not scoring a touchdown. There are obviously better tight end plays this week, but if you're in a pickle, perhaps Dissly could be of some service? Since Week 8, Dissly has the 8th-most targets among tight ends (32) and 7th-most receptions (24). In Week 10, he led the team with a 33% target share. His season percentage is 18% but his usage has increased recently with games of 30%, 24%, 12%, and last week's 33% target share. He has at least four receptions in four of the last five games and he is dominating the snap count among Chargers tight ends. This week the Chargers host Cincinnati, who have allowed a touchdown to a tight end in four of the last six games. Might this be the week Dissly finds the end zone? That would put the cherry on top of the sundae, but Dissly has shown that he can produce decent numbers even without a score. Cincinnati has allowed 37, 24, and 35 points over their last three games. The timing is right for Dissly this week. If you need a tight end, he is someone to consider. 

Additional Stats & Tidbits

  • Did you Know? Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored a touchdown in seven consecutive games?
  • The LA Rams lead the league with eight touchdowns allowed in the first quarter.
  • The Ravens lead the league with 14 touchdowns allowed in the fourth quarter. Coincidentally, the Rams have allowed only two touchdowns in the fourth quarter all season. 
  • Derrick Henry and Joe Mixon are the only players to total 100 yards in a game, with at least one touchdown, five times this season. 
  • Players with multiple games of 40+ PPR points in the same season, in a loss, since 2000. 
    • Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati 2024. Week 5, 10
    • Mike Evans, Tampa Bay 2019. Week 3, 8
    • Josh Gordon, Cleveland 2013. Week 12, 13
    • Drew Bennett, Tennessee 2004. Week 14, 15
    • Priest Holmes, Kansas City 2002. Week 3, 7, 12

How good was Priest Holmes? From 2001 to 2004, Holmes reached 40+ PPR points nine times (win or loss)! He's not the most prolific, though. That belongs to Marshall Faulk who has a record 11 games of 40+ PPR points all coming in a span of 2000 to 2002. Six of those came in one season - 2000. Only one of Faulk's 40+ games was in a loss. 

Good luck. To earn that playoff spot this week.

Thank you for reading. Questions, comments, and suggestions are always welcome. Hit me up on X, formerly Twitter.

Follow @JeffHaseley

 

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