Dynasty Trading Post: Team Direction, Wide Receivers

Exploring the dynasty trade market for buy and sell opportunities

Chad Parsons's Dynasty Trading Post: Team Direction, Wide Receivers Chad Parsons Published 10/23/2024

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Welcome to the dynasty trading post, where optimizing strategy, roster construction, format, and player value oscillations are examined weekly with examples and completed dynasty trades.

This week, we'll focus on the wide receiver position for contending and pretending (aka teams not contending) dynasty teams.

All trades are Superflex unless stated otherwise

Contending Teams

WR Tyreek Hill, Miami

Footballguy Jordan McNamara mentioned the quote "buying low should not feel comfortable" recently to me, and that absolutely applies to Tyreek Hill. Between Tua Tagovailoa's most recent concussion and Miami's offense falling off the map since, acquiring the 30-year-old Hill does not feel warm and cozy. This is the definition of a buy-low. Whether injury, poor play, or situation, something must stink attached to a player to truly buy low. Here we are with Hill. A reminder, Hill has been one of the most dominant receivers in the NFL ever - a career 2.57 yards per route option. The Miami situation has been so poor over the past month, the conversations have devolved to "Should I bench Tyreek Hill?" and plenty of trades being a fraction of his August price. A healthy Tagovailoa for even one game will whiplash Hill back to his elite ceiling and eliminate any trade possibilities for contending teams for a discounted price. This is a critical window to explore trading for Tyreek Hill.

The Bigsby trade is a perfect deal to sharpshoot Hill's upside for a contending team and capitalizing on Bigsby's recent rise in value. Be open to selling young wide receivers who are not overly production like Coleman and Smith-Njigba to supplement strong rosters with Hill.

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WR Nico Collins, Houston

Nico Collins is one of the current injury discount players who is projected back to meaningfully aid contending teams in the second half of the season. Collins has continued his torrid pace established last season with an even better combination of 3.49 yards per route run and 27% target per route run this season. Collins has an injury priced into his dynasty trade value and yet will be back in November for the stretch run for title-bound teams.

The second trade is a prime example of why you hold rookie picks and collect additional picks for the right trade. Having the extra Round 2 pick likely sealed the deal to get the deal done and bolster a contending roster for now (Adams) and for now and the future (Collins).

Pretending Teams

WR Brandon Aiyuk, San Francisco

Injuries create buying opportunities for quality profiles. Aiyuk's multi-ligament knee injury potentially clouds the start of the 2025 season but offers a tremendous pathway to acquiring him on non-contending teams for the long term. Aiyuk is a 2.03 yards per route run player in his career, locked in with a contract, and likely attached to Brock Purdy for the foreseeable future in San Francisco - all positives for his ability to bounce back in 2025, 2026, and beyond.

All of these are short-sided deals for the team selling Aiyuk, making him an overt buying opportunity, especially for teams out of the race. Tank Dell has not even been that productive with Nico Collins out of the lineup and Collins will be back soon. Offering an older running back is another ideal trade construction to acquire Aiyuk. Finally, arbitraging Jayden Reed into Aiyuk+ is a long-term value boon, plus shifting points from 2024 to 2025 and beyond.

WR Rashee Rice, Kansas City

Rice was injured weeks ago, but often, a reluctant-to-trade dynasty team will be more open to dealing away an injured player if they remain competitive and sustain another injury at the position. Reach back out to the Rice teams, especially if they are competitive but thin at receiver. Rice is an ideal bankable profile for 2025 if your own team is fading from the race.

Using older wide receivers like Amari Cooper and/or Davante Adams creates the perfect win-win trade to leverage for future value. The most quizzical of these example trades is getting a plus on top of Rice in return for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, who is still finding his way to dependable production. That trade is potentially amplified this week with D.K. Metcalf coming off an injury and potentially missing time. 

Check out all of Chad Parsons' content at Footballguys.

 

Photos provided by Imagn Images

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