Welcome to the dynasty trading post, where optimizing strategy, roster construction, format, and player value oscillations are examined weekly with examples and completed dynasty trades.
This week, we'll focus on the trade market of Christian McCaffrey and Chuba Hubbard after McCaffrey's return to his workhorse role and Hubbard's nearly 30 points in Week 10.
All trades are Superflex unless stated otherwise
RB Christian McCaffrey, San Francisco
After the Week 1 debacle and another eight long weeks of waiting, Christian McCaffrey made his 2024 season debut. The volume and production were present and McCaffrey's value should return to full. The problem for McCaffrey teams is it may be too late if this week does not result in a week. If 4-6 or worse, McCaffrey is an exploratory sell as contending teams should be willing to pay full freight with McCaffrey emerging from the game healthy and the trade deadline in many leagues is imminent in the next week or two. McCaffrey is not a must sell even if not contending considering he may help contending environments in 2025 as one of the best running backs in the NFL, but his market value will likely never be higher going forward. Here are a few examples of ideal sell ideas if not contending or interesting in maxing out present value:
- McCaffrey for Jameson Williams, 1st, 2nd
- McCaffrey, Jordan Mason for 1st, 1st
- McCaffrey for Travis Etienne Jr., DJ Moore, 1st, 2nd
- McCaffrey for Jonathon Brooks, 1st
- McCaffrey for Brian Thomas Jr..
- McCaffrey for Drake Maye
The Drake Maye deal is particularly interesting as Maye is playing his way toward being a top 24 startup pick and an insulated (for now) asset. The others center around a 1st+ for McCaffrey. Next year will be difficult to continue to pull a 1st+ for McCaffrey even if healthy and productive.
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RB Chuba Hubbard, Carolina
Chuba Hubbard had a week of good news. First, a new contract with Carolina. Second, a massive season-best performance in Week 10. Third, Jonathon Brooks was not active for the game this week and Miles Sanders sustained an in-game injury. All are net positives for Hubbard's dynasty valuation for now. The key is for now. Hubbard's contract when evaluated for guaranteed money and dead cap progression reads as he is a roster lock in 2025, but not so in 2026 and definitely not in 2027. This is the last big moment to explore the trade market for peak prices for Hubbard as a sell. Hubbard is coming off a big game, Jonathon Brooks is still an idea more than a tangible threat, and the good vibes of the new contract still smell like sweet perfume in the air of the dynasty market.
- Hubbard, 2nd, 3rd for Ken Walker III
- Hubbard for Jordan Addison, 3rd
- Hubbard for Jameson Williams, 2nd
- Hubbard, 2nd, 3rd for Rhamondre Stevenson, 1st
- Hubbard for Travis Etienne Jr., 2nd
Hubbard is a glaring sell high this week. the potential for a drop in value by the offseason is strong. The main focus is through insulation to get through the offseason. Hubbard carries risk of an injury, Jonathon Brooks being clearly superior, or a combination of the two by Week 1 next season. While swapping to Jordan Addison or Jameson Williams may not be ideal, they offer more flexibility down the line. The running back pivots to Stevenson+ and Etienne+ are ideal as well.
Check out all of Chad Parsons' content at Footballguys.
