Dynasty Movement: Week 15

Jeff Bell moderates a panel of Footballguys staffers, including Weisse, Hicks, Spala, and Montgomery, while they discuss their biggest movers in Dynasty rankings.

Jeff Bell's Dynasty Movement: Week 15 Jeff Bell Published 12/12/2024

© Matt Krohn-Imagn Images

The end of the fantasy regular season is an ideal time to reset Dynasty rankings. The playoff stretch will see new contributors rise as teams out of title contention shut down players who have battled nagging injuries. Dynasty staffers Corey Spala, Andy Hicks, Ryan Weisse, and Matt Montgomery hit their movers coming out of Week 14.

The Dynasty staff gathered to work through multiple quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends who are the biggest risers or fallers in rankings. Check out the Footballguys Dynasty Football show with Jagger May and myself for more Dynasty content. We do three episodes weekly, discussing a variety of relevant Dynasty trends.

Dynasty Movement At Quarterback

Kirk Cousins, Atlanta

Andy Hicks: November 4 is the last time Cousins threw a touchdown. With eight interceptions since then, Cousins has become fantasy poison. He will be 37 at the start of next season, and the Falcons have a first-round rookie waiting in the wings. Theories of trades, e.g., the 49ers, are interesting, but he moves right down the rankings until we have some certainty about his 2025 location. 

Ryan Weisse: Cousins is an older quarterback, but in Superflex, any starting quarterback has value. The issue watching Cousins over the last few games is how long he will be the starter. He is a statue in the pocket and taking far more hits than you want a 36-year-old quarterback taking in a season. There is an increased injury risk, but his play has been subpar over the last month. With first-round pick Michael Penix Jr. waiting in the wings, Cousins' tenure in Atlanta could be shorter than we thought seven months ago.

Tua Tagovailoa, Miami

Corey Spala: Tagovailoa is currently QB8 in points per game. This sample includes his Week 2 game when he suffered his concussion in the third quarter. He has four straight games over 20 points. He currently ranks first in completion percentage and success rate and second in expected points added per game and yards per game. I see no reason why he should be ranked as QB20 and should rise the rankings. 

C.J. Stroud, Houston

Matthew Montgomery: Not to pile onto Houston Texans fans any more than necessary, but the sophomore slump we are seeing from Stroud should make us all nervous. It is one thing if he has slight regression as the league compiles more data on him; it is an entirely different thing to see the fall off this substantial. With four games to go, he has 1000 fewer passing yards and 11 fewer touchdowns than last season. In standard scoring, he has 155.34 points, 34.14 of which came in two games against the Jaguars, currently 31st in the league against quarterbacks. There would be more sympathy here if he were in a world-beater division, but the AFC South isn't exactly a juggernaut, and he isn't dominating it like he did last season. 

Dynasty Movement At Tight End

Stone Smartt, LA Chargers

Andy Hicks: Smartt has been developing nicely. In his third season, he has looked great in making several elite catches in the past. With Will Dissly injured, he recorded three grabs against the Chiefs in primetime. A starting job is there for him if he can develop consistency and continue his improvement. Tight Ends come and go. Several look good here and there but fail to be fantasy options. Smartt is worth keeping on a deep roster, but keep expectations low. 

Michael Mayer, Las Vegas

Andy Hicks: Mayer had a solid rookie season. Then, the Raiders drafted Brock Bowers. Then, Mayer was dealing with a personal issue. Since returning, he has slowly built into the seven-catch performance against the Bucs. What happens now is anyone's guess, but at least he is playing football again and well. It is hard to bump him too much without understanding the personal issue, but he warrants a little, as the Raisers are weak at wide receiver. 

Cade Stover, Houston

Corey Spala: Stover does not have flashy box score stats, but he has an intriguing outlook. He is playing behind Dalton Schultz and, subsequently, Nico Collins and Tank Dell, yet Stover has accumulated 20 targets on the season. Again, it's not flashy, but I am intrigued by a dynasty outlook regarding a rookie tight end. Houston has the opportunity to move on from Schultz after the 2025 season, and stashing Stover is optimal if you have the ability. Stover is currently our TE38, and I would rank him over Dawson Knox (TE32) and Tyler Conklin (TE29). 

AJ Barner, Seattle

Corey Spala: Barner is a consistent contributor to Seattle's offense. He saw an uptick in usage when Noah Fant missed three games; he accumulated 15 targets and nine receptions. The immediate usage further elevates his dynasty outlook. I understand having 28 targets through 14 games is not eye-opening. He is your typical developmental rookie tight end, and Seattle does not need to force Barner into their offense. He is our TE57 and should have his ranking rise. Like Stover, I would rank him ahead of Dawson Knox (TE32) and Tyler Conklin (TE29). 

Kyle Pitts, Atlanta

Matthew Montgomery: It is time for us as a collective to finally get rid of the hope we have for Kyle Pitts. It will never be a thing, but we continue to step on the rake and get hit in the face with his lack of production. Last week, in arguably the most crucial week of the season, he produced zero points. That is the type of player that will lose you a week. It doesn't matter that he's only 24. It doesn't matter that the team likely moves to a different quarterback next season. It doesn't matter that he had a good rookie year. He is not a thing; he won't ever be, and we need to accept this fate and move forward on our teams.    

Jonnu Smith, Miami

Ryan Weisse: It took a few years, but Smith is finally making good on fantasy managers' lofty expectations. He has fit perfectly into Mike McDaniel's offense over the last month and has top-10 fantasy potential weekly. Smith is only 29 years old and could be a perfect fit for fantasy managers who don't have a young, elite tight end as long as he stays in Miami.

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Dynasty Movement At Running Back

Sincere McCormick, Las Vegas

Andy Hicks: McCormick seems to be the 2024 version of a running back coming out of nowhere and performing well. An overhaul of the Raiders coaching staff is expected in the offseason. Add in free agents and draft picks to throw at a struggling roster; McCormick may not even make a roster in 2025, regardless of how he performs in the final few games. But he does have a resume for himself now. He moves up a little in rankings, hoping to defeat the odds. 

Isaiah Davis, NY Jets

Andy Hicks:  The Jets have many problems on their team, from the top down. Running back does not appear to be one of them. Even if his numbers say otherwise, Breece Hall is one of the league's best backs. Braelon Allen has looked great at times and average at others. A slow start against the Dolphins for Allen in the absence of Hall saw fifth-round rookie Isaiah Davis get a shot. And he looked good. If Breece Hall gets shut down, we will see more of Davis and Allen. It's time to get in for the Davis lottery ticket.

Corey Spala: The Jets have three talented running backs, yet Davis should rise in rankings. Davis has stepped up the last two weeks with 20 opportunities, two touchdowns, and 5.8 yards per touch. Breece Hall missed Week 14, yet Davis and Allen each had 16 opportunities. This game is a one-game sample size but intriguing and noteworthy for a dynasty.  Davis should rise from his RB81 ranking. I would be comfortable ranking him ahead of Ty Chandler (RB58) and Gus Edwards (RB54). 

Tyrone Tracy Jr., NY Giants

Corey Spala: I will keep mentioning Tyrone Tracy Jr. until his ranking has risen to the point I am happy with. He continues to produce and prove his worth as a dynasty running back. In Week 14, he set career highs in Snap rate, rush share percentage, route rate, and target share. The Giants do not have much talent on the roster; they have solidified their running back position. Tracy is our RB42 and should continue to rise in the rankings.

Kyren Williams, LA Rams

Matthew Montgomery: Why do people have such an issue with Williams? In recent memory, he must be the most heavily debated top player in his position. For nearly two years now, there has been this narrative that “he's not a good player” and that “so and so” was drafted, added, and acquired to take his position on the team. There is no need to bore you with opinions on why this is happening; let's look at what he is doing. He averages 21 opportunities per game, has a second straight 1000-yard rushing season, and a second straight season with 14+ touchdowns. As long as the community keeps selling this stock, you should continue to buy it. The likelihood of many people admitting they could be wrong isn't normal.  

J.K. Dobbins, LA Chargers

Matthew Montgomery: At the beginning of the season, faders of Dobbins looked like fools for most of the year, only to be proven right in the end. He has now suffered a fourth injury to the same leg and will be on the IR for a third consecutive season, this time for the entirety of the fantasy playoffs. Everyone wants to see him succeed, especially after seeing some of his public sound bites about what he is overcoming to do this. Still, he has failed to show us any ability to complete a season, and fantasy football is a game mainly won by availability over just ability. Until Dobbins can prove that he is past these numerous leg issues and plays consecutive seasons, there is no need to continue believing he can do it. 

Jonathon Brooks, Carolina

Ryan Weisse: Brooks is now dealing with another late-season ACL tear in the same knee he injured in college. While 2024 was already accepted as a lost season, he's unlikely to do much in 2025. Dynasty managers will need to exercise extraordinary patience with the young back. Still, if you're contending for a championship, taking an offer that sends working parts your way might not be a bad idea. That is far better than waiting to see what Brooks can do in 2026.

Chuba Hubbard, Carolina

Ryan Weisse: While one Carolina back's stock falls, the other skyrockets. Hubbard was just given an extension this week, and now he'll be the unquestioned lead in the fantasy playoffs and 2025. He has played very well this season, and fantasy managers who held on or bought low when Brooks was returning are counting their lucky stars.

Dynasty Movement At Wide Receiver

Jordan Addison, Minnesota

Andy Hicks: Addison has massive games and many two and three-catch performances as well. Over the last six games, he has been strong consistently. Thirty catches for 477 yards and six touchdowns are elite numbers. He has even been ranking ahead of Justin Jefferson since week nine. Due to the presence of Jefferson, he could still be attainable in a package trade, and his numbers warrant a significant bump in rankings.

Jalen McMillan, Tampa Bay

Andy Hicks: McMillan was drafted in the third round to be a complement to Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and an eventual replacement to one or both. He started the season slow, and a hamstring injury delayed his progress once Godwin was lost for the year. Since returning, he has had some opportunities, culminating in a two-touchdown performance against the Raiders. The horse may have bolted here, but he is a player to watch for 2025 and beyond. With a good offseason and further development, he could be a starting fantasy receiver as early as next year. 

Puka Nacua, LA Rams

Andy Hicks: Time to get serious about giving Nacua a massive lift in rankings. He has 11 one-hundred-yard games in 25 appearances. There were touchdowns in nine games and at least six catches in 11. He is on track for a 1000-yard season despite missing six weeks. With Cooper Kupp well past 30, Nacua looks elite moving forward. His physical style may be seen on the injury report frequently, but if he plays, he is unstoppable. 

Jerry Jeudy, Cleveland

Corey Spala: We all know what is happening here; Jeudy has revived his career. He is currently fourth in receiving yards while being 24th in receptions. His play has increased with Jameis Winston in six games; they have combined for 678 receiving yards, or 72% of his total yards. Jeudy is currently our WR46, but given his current production and future outlook, he should move up the rankings. He should be ranked ahead of Michael Pittman Jr (WR35) and Xavier Worthy (WR31).

Khalil Shakir, Buffalo

Corey Spala: Shakir has comfortably risen to the occasion to be Buffalo's WR1. He is the WR22 overall but is WR32 if points per game. He has the fourth-lowest drop percentage among all receiving options and has earned the trust of his team. Shakir will turn 25 years old before next season and is on an expiring contract. He is currently our WR41, and I feel he should move up the rankings. Given that he is WR32 in points per game, I do not want to overreact, but I think he can slide up and be ahead of Michael Pittman Jr. (WR35).  

Matthew Montgomery: Josh Allen may not need a dynamic star wide receiver to be one of the game's best. For a while, there was this narrative that Allen was only amplified by the presence of Stefon Diggs in this offense, but as we have seen Diggs leave, we have seen the rise of Shakir in this pseudo-WR1 role for Buffalo. Shakir has career highs in all significant wide receiver statistics. He has a favorable schedule heading into the fantasy playoffs. Still, his long-term prospects of being Josh Allen's favorite target should excite Buffalo Bills fans and Shakir's fantasy managers. 

Courtland Sutton, Denver

Matthew Montgomery: This version of Sutton is the version we have all been hoping was within him. All it took was a rookie quarterback to get there! Believe it or not, this is just his third season where he has eclipsed over 100 targets, and he is on his way to smashing his current season record for targets. He has always had the potential to be a great receiver, but for various reasons, he has always been a low-end WR2 with upside. Now he is creeping into high-end WR2 with WR1 upside, and as Bo Nix continues his development under the tutelage of Sean Payton, we should see Sutton rise further as well. 

Ryan Weisse: Putting it bluntly, I was far too low on Sutton; he was outside of my Top 50, and it took me way too long to notice. At the start of 2024, it looked like Sutton was stuck in a bad situation or could even be traded out of Denver. Instead, he and Bo Nix have formed an excellent bond, and his career looks rejuvenated. At 29 years old, it would be hard to put him in my Top 20, but I see Sutton as a top-30 receiver for at least the next two seasons.

Ja'Marr Chase, Cincinnati

Ryan Weisse: I started this season making the case that CeeDee Lamb deserved the nod as the overall WR1 in Dynasty over Chase and Justin Jefferson. I've seen enough to move Chase ahead at this point. Calling Chase the best asset in the dynasty is not that hot of a take, but he is one year younger than his primary competition and tied to the best quarterback by far. If I'm drafting in a start-up today, Chase is the first non-QB off the board.

 

Photos provided by Imagn Images

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