Vegas Value Chart: Week 16

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 16 John Lee Published 12/20/2023

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your weekly decisions. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

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[Blue font indicates remaining non-main slate DFS games.]

UPDATED SATURDAY, DECEMBER 23rd @ Noon (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Philadelphia NY Giants -13.5 43 28.25 ««« ««« ««
Buffalo LA Chargers -12 44 28 ««« ««« ««
San Francisco Baltimore -6 47 26.5 «« ««
Miami Dallas -2 49.5 25.75 «« ««
Kansas City Las Vegas -10.5 40.5 25.5 «« ««« ««
Detroit Minnesota -3 47.5 25.25 «« ««
LA Rams New Orleans -4 45.5 24.75 « «
Atlanta Indianapolis -2.5 45.5 24 « «
Dallas Miami 2 49.5 23.75 « «
Chicago Arizona -4 43 23.5 « «
Seattle Tennessee -3.5 41.5 22.5
Minnesota Detroit 3 47.5 22.25
Tampa Bay Jacksonville -1 42 21.5
Indianapolis Atlanta 2.5 45.5 21.5
Cleveland Houston -3 40 21.5 «
Denver New England -7.5 35.5 21.5 «««
Green Bay Carolina -4 38 21 «
New Orleans LA Rams 4 45.5 20.75
Jacksonville Tampa Bay 1 42 20.5
Baltimore San Francisco 6 47 20.5 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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