Vegas Value Chart: Week 13

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 13 John Lee Published 11/28/2023

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your weekly decisions. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

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[Blue font indicates remaining non-main slate DFS games.]

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Miami Washington -9.5 50.5 30 ««« «««
Dallas Seattle -8.5 46.5 27.5 «« ««« «
Houston Denver -3.5 47.5 25.5 « «
Detroit New Orleans -4 46 25 « «
San Francisco Philadelphia -2.5 46.5 24.5 « «
Kansas City Green Bay -6 42 24 « « «
Pittsburgh Arizona -5.5 41 23.25 «
Jacksonville Cincinnati -8.5 38 23.25 «««
LA Chargers New England -6 40 23 «
Denver Houston 3.5 47.5 22
Philadelphia San Francisco 2.5 46.5 22
Indianapolis Tennessee -1 42.5 21.75
LA Rams Cleveland -3.5 39.5 21.5 «
Tampa Bay Carolina -5.5 37 21.25 ««
New Orleans Detroit 4 46 21
Tennessee Indianapolis 1 42.5 20.75
Washington Miami 9.5 50.5 20.5
Seattle Dallas 8.5 46.5 19
Atlanta NY Jets -2.5 34 18.25 ««
Cleveland LA Rams 3.5 39.5 18 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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