Vegas Value Chart: Week 11

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 11 John Lee Published 11/14/2023

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, allowing you to develop a rudimentary game script to help narrow down your weekly decisions. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus on those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league, and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

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[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

UPDATED SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 18th @ 7 PM (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Miami Las Vegas -13.5 46 29.75 ««« ««« ««
Detroit Chicago -8 48 28 ««« «««
Houston Arizona -6 48 27 «« ««
San Francisco Tampa Bay -12 41.5 26.75 «« ««« «««
Dallas Carolina -10.5 42.5 26.5 «« ««« ««
Baltimore Cincinnati -4 46 25 « «
LA Rams Seattle -2 46.5 24.25 « «
Kansas City Philadelphia -3 45 24 « «
LA Chargers Green Bay -3 44 23.5
Washington NY Giants -8.5 38 23.25 «««
Buffalo NY Jets -7 39 23 ««
Jacksonville Tennessee -6.5 39.5 23 ««
Seattle LA Rams 2 46.5 22.25
Denver Minnesota -2.5 41 21.75
Arizona Houston 6 48 21
Philadelphia Kansas City 3 45 21
Cincinnati Baltimore 4 46 21
Green Bay LA Chargers 3 44 20.5
Chicago Detroit 8 48 20
Minnesota Denver 2.5 41 19.25 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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