As we race toward August, Footballguys.com will look at one team per day with our extremely in-depth Team Reports and our quick-hitting Team Mood and Players We're In and Out On, where we check out the overall mood of each team's offense and let you know the players we are in on (because they are great values at the cost it takes to acquire them) and who we're out on (because they are too expensive and won't have a good return on that investment).
Here are all of the Team Mood and Players We're In and Out On articles:
Arizona | Atlanta | Baltimore | Buffalo | Carolina | Chicago | Cincinnati | Cleveland | Dallas | Denver | Detroit | Green Bay | Houston | Indianapolis | Jacksonville | Kansas City | Las Vegas | LA Chargers | LA Rams | Miami | Minnesota | New England | New Orleans | NY Giants | NY Jets | Philadelphia | Pittsburgh | San Francisco | Seattle | Tampa Bay | Tennessee | Washington
Quick Hits
Want a brief overview? Here it is:
- Mood - Good
- We're In On at Cost - RB Devin Singletary
- We're Out On at Cost - WR Gabriel Davis
Want a longer breakdown of how it's going in Buffalo? Read on.
Buffalo, Team Mood
- Good - 16
- Neutral - 0
- Bad - 0
Staffers in a Good Mood
- Jordan McNamara: Super Bowl favorites.
- Chad Parsons: Offensive pieces are improved, with minimal departures, around the oracle Josh Allen.
- Jason Wood: Loaded, experienced roster entering the season as one of the Super Bowl favorites.
- Sam Wagman: Super Bowl caliber team with a top-three offense.
- Jeff Haseley: They have unfinished business in the AFC.
- Ryan Weisse: They have a great quarterback and excellent weapons around him.
- Andy Hicks: Losing Brian Daboll may have an impact, but promoting Ken Dorsey from within negates some of that impact.
- Christian Williams: Having one of the top two quarterbacks in the NFL can make offensive coordinator transitions smoother.
- Craig Lakins: They're likely still on the front end of their Super Bowl window and love to throw the ball around. It's a high-value offense to invest in.
- Alfredo Brown: The Bills are a perennial top-5 offensive unit as long as Josh Allen is there.
- Kevin Coleman: Josh Allen leads a top-five offense into the 2022 season.
- Ben Cummins: Josh Allen is the fantasy QB1 and leads an offense that ranked 10th in DVOA last year.
- Dave Kluge: This team is gunning for Super Bowl and will produce plenty of viable options for fantasy at different positions.
- Dan Hindery: The Bills are favored to lead the NFL in scoring.
- Justin Howe: Good, great, grand, wonderful. This is an elite, Super Bowl-caliber offense that stems from Josh Allen and extends to a huge cast.
- Jeff Bell: The top quarterback, a top receiving option, an explosive offense, what is not to like.
Staffers in a Neutral Mood
- None
Staffers in a Bad Mood
- None
Players We're In On at Cost
- Devin Singletary - 4
- Josh Allen - 3
- Jamison Crowder - 3
- James Cook - 3
- Stefon Diggs - 1
- Isaiah McKenzie - 1
- The Wide Receivers - 1
- Gabriel Davis - 1
- Dawson Knox - 1
Reasons to be In on Devin Singletary
- Jason Wood: Was a lot better in the lead role down the stretch than his reputation indicates.
- Sam Wagman: Singletary is underpriced as the team’s preferred lead back here. Ranked fifth in the NFL in breakaway runs last year. Cook won’t take away many carries.
- Dan Hindery: Stepped into a much larger role down the stretch in 2021 and put up big numbers that look sustainable.
- Justin Howe: He remains undervalued. He took on 20 touches a game down the stretch, and the team has already called rookie James Cook a "sub back" in the vein of J.D. McKissic.
Reasons to be In on Josh Allen
- Jordan McNamara: Back-to-back QB1.
- Chad Parsons: Elite upside rushing and passing plus attached to a strong WR1.
- Ben Cummins: Allen is worth a third- or fourth-round pick.
Reasons to be In on Jamison Crowder
- Jeff Haseley: If he takes over the Cole Beasley role, he should have decent fantasy production.
- Craig Lakins: To be fair, I'm in on all Bills' WRs, but Crowder currently stands out due to being drafted as the WR66. Cole Beasley had 82 catches last season from the slot.
- Dave Kluge: Crowder doesn't possess a huge ceiling, but he can slot into Cole Beasley's vacated role, gobble up 100 targets, and provide a top-36 PPR finish.
Reasons to be In on James Cook
- Andy Hicks: Cook may be undersized, but the opportunity is there to be the dominant fantasy back at good value
- Christian Williams: The pass-catching back in this offense should retain some value.
- Kevin Coleman: Has immediate value as a PPR option and will likely get most of the third-down work out of the backfield. His big-play potential could fill the scoreboard.
Reasons to be In on Stefon Diggs
- Ryan Weisse: The only ones on this offense you can trust to play at ADP. Allen still costs too much for a fantasy quarterback, but Diggs is a dependable WR1.
Reasons to be In on Isaiah McKenzie
- Alfredo Brown: McKenzie (WR87 ADP) was given a 2-yr, 4.4 Mil contract this off-season and could be the starting slot receiver
Reasons to be In on The Wide Receivers
- Ben Cummins: In on the top three wide receivers (Diggs, Davis, and Crowder) at cost and even like taking late-round chances on McKenzie in best ball.
Reasons to be In on Gabriel Davis
- Dan Hindery: Stepped into a much larger role down the stretch in 2021 and put up big numbers that look sustainable.
Reasons to be In on Dawson Knox
- Jeff Bell: Finished as TE9 and being drafted at TE9, no back-end TE1 has as much upside to ascend into the top tier.
Players We're Out On at Cost
- Gabriel Davis - 7
- Dawson Knox - 4
- Stefon Diggs - 2
- No One - 1
- Devin Singletary - 1
- Jamison Crowder - 1
Reasons to be Out on Gabriel Davis
- Chad Parsons: A possible breakout player, but with Cook, Crowder, Howard, and Shakir added to Knox as ancillary pieces, Davis has more competition than most assume at the price.
- Jason Wood: 35 catches in each of two seasons with a limited route tree and being overvalued as the darling of Fantasy Twitter.
- Andy Hicks: Davis has had a statistically almost identical first two seasons. His current ADP is factoring significant improvement. I need to see it first.
- Christian Williams: He should make a jump forward, but an ADP of WR24 is too rich.
- Alfredo Brown: I like Davis, but the hype train has pushed him up to the WR20 in average draft position.
- Kevin Coleman: His ADP is far too high for a player of his caliber.
- Dave Kluge: Davis's ADP right now is wild. He'd have to slide to at least WR30 before I'd feel comfortable drafting him.
Reasons to be Out on Dawson Knox
- Jordan McNamara: His production is largely touchdown volume-based, which has a ceiling and weak floor.
- Jeff Haseley: While he could have a few good games, the consistency won't be there to be a reliable every-week starter.
- Ryan Weisse: Inconsistent tight ends are made for streaming, not drafting.
- Ben Cummins: Falls in a range I’m generally not attacking. I prefer taking an elite tight end earlier or waiting longer for an Irv Smith type.
Reasons to be Out on Stefon Diggs
- Dan Hindery: He faded down the stretch, never topping 85 receiving yards in any of his final 10 games (playoffs included).
- Justin Howe: I'm nervous about Diggs as a no-brainer top-five receiver. This offense is crowded, and his upside is limited compared to his peers.
Reasons to be Out on No One
- Sam Wagman: Everyone is priced correctly for the most part, though Gabriel Davis is starting to be drafted around his ceiling at his current WR24 ADP.
Reasons to be Out on Devin Singletary
- Craig Lakins: He closed out 2021 on a great run, but I expect James Cook to start eating into Singletary's touches early and often.
Reasons to be Out on Jamison Crowder
- Jeff Bell: Slot was mitigated out of this offense late last year and will be used to juggle formations; he's a very low-ceiling option.