Vegas Value Chart: Week 1

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 1 John Lee Published 08/31/2020

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

Updated on Sunday, September 13th @ 7 AM (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Kansas City Houston -9.5 54 31.75 ««« «««
Baltimore Cleveland -7.5 47.5 27.5 «« ««« «
San Francisco Arizona -7 48 27.5 «« ««« «
Dallas LA Rams -2 51.5 26.75 «« ««
Indianapolis Jacksonville -8 45 26.5 «« ««« «
Pittsburgh NY Giants -6 46 26 «« ««
New Orleans Tampa Bay -3.5 47.5 25.5 « «
Las Vegas Carolina -3 48 25.5 « «
Seattle Atlanta -1.5 49 25.25 « «
LA Rams Dallas 2 51.5 24.75 « «
New England Miami -7 41.5 24.25 « «« «
Atlanta Seattle 1.5 49 23.75
LA Chargers Cincinnati -3.5 44 23.75
Philadelphia Washington -5 42 23.5 «
Minnesota Green Bay -2.5 44.5 23.5
Buffalo NY Jets -6.5 39.5 23 ««
Detroit Chicago -2.5 42.5 22.5
Carolina Las Vegas 3 48 22.5
Houston Kansas City 9.5 54 22.25
Tampa Bay New Orleans 3.5 47.5 22 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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