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Dynasty Trade Value Chart: February - Our Dan Hindery brings must read info every month with the Dynasty Trade Value Chart. Dan evaluates long-term player values to help you build a winning Dynasty League roster. Here's what he has for February.
Dynasty Trade Value Chart: February
By Dan Hindery - Exclusive to Footballguys
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With only the Super Bowl remaining, we can finally turn the page on the 2024 NFL season and shift our full attention to 2025. The deep dive into the incoming rookie class begins in earnest this month. Footballguys will soon be releasing its Rookie Guide, and having seen some previews and the work going on behind the scenes, I'm excited about this invaluable resource for evaluating the next wave of NFL talent.
In this month's article, I want to highlight the value of best ball average draft position (ADP) as a powerful tool for gaining an edge in dynasty leagues. Underdog has already launched its pre-draft 2025 best ball tournaments, with drafts kicking off in late January and running through the NFL Draft in April. These early drafts provide a unique opportunity to gauge how the fantasy community values veterans and rookies months before traditional redraft leagues take shape.
Thousands of real-money drafts have already occurred, with some of the sharpest and most engaged fantasy players weighing the risks and rewards of drafting returning veterans and incoming rookies. Analyzing these early ADPs helps us track trends and spot potential buying opportunities before dynasty ADP fully adjusts to the evolving 2025 fantasy landscape.
A major focus of this month's article is the 2025 rookie class, using Underdog's ADP as a key reference point for assessing prospect values. This is the most robust source of early market consensus on rookie rankings, giving us a strong foundation for identifying the key players to study over the next few months as we prepare for rookie draft season. We'll start with a position-by-position breakdown of the incoming rookies before shifting our focus to veteran players and how their values are evolving heading into 2025.
Veteran player values will be included at the bottom of the article in a single table. Please remember that these values are not updated throughout the month but are constantly updated in the Dynasty Trade Value Chart tool.
Early Rookie Player Values
In the tables below, the incoming 2025 rookie class is ranked based on their early best ball ADP from Underdog Fantasy, which is listed in the "ADP" column. I have also included my estimated dynasty trade value for each player (for one-quarterback leagues). These values provide a useful guide for assessing individual rookie pick values and comparing incoming rookies to veterans in early startup drafts that include rookies.
Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid confirmed on Tuesday, Feb. 4, that he will not retire after Super Bowl LIX and will return to coach the team for a 13th season in 2025.
Our view: Sunday's NFL Championship tilt will be Reid's 45th career playoff game as a head coach, passing Bill Belichick (44) for the most playoff games by a head coach all-time. Reid (28) needs four wins to pass Belichick (31) for the most career playoff victories. The 66-year-old Reid remains several seasons behind Bruce Arians, who was 68 when he became the oldest Super Bowl champion coach -- Arians retired at 69. "Yeah, I don't think about that, but Bruce was a great coach," Reid said. "He was a good man, too. But you don't know. I'm enjoying what I'm doing." With the Raiders hiring 73-year-old Pete Carroll as their head coach, Reid is no longer the oldest NFL head coach.
Former Seattle Seahawks quarterbacks coach Greg Olson is being hired by the Las Vegas Raiders as their new quarterbacks coach, according to sources.
Our view: Olson, 61, was with the Raiders as offensive coordinator from 2013-2014 and 2018-2021. As Profootballtalk.com notes, Olson initially didn't call plays during his second stint but took over that role after former head coach Jon Gruden abruptly resigned early on in the 2021 season. Las Vegas finished No. 11 in yards and No. 18 in points scored that season, earning a postseason berth at 10-7. Olson previously worked under new Raiders head coach Pete Carroll in 2023 with the Seahawks as the team's QBs coach. In his long career as an NFL assistant, Olson has also worked with the 49ers, Bears, Lions, Rams, Bucs, and Jaguars.
Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce hinted that this may not be his last season Tuesday, Feb. 3. 'I've thought about it, but I still love what I do,' Kelce said. 'It's moments like these, weeks like these, the month that we just had in the playoffs that make me feel like I could play this game forever. I think I still got a lot of football left in me. I think this year has been one of the most special years of my life. I think it's gonna continue to make me want to do more in the football world. Where will I be in three years? Hopefully still playing football.'
Our view: Kelce put up 823 yards, his worst total since his one-game rookie season in 2013, and had just three touchdowns in 16 games this season. Still, Kelce finished the year as TE5 with 12.7 points per game. Given the dearth of reliable producers at the position, expect him to be redrafted as a lower-end TE1 in 2025, assuming he makes good on his word and returns.
Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?
So today, we ask you Footballguys:
🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?
When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.
🗳️ POLL: Who deserves to win the 2024 NFL Defensive Player Of The Year award?
Cleveland Browns impending free-agent QB Jameis Winston said he absolutely has interest in signing with the New York Giants in the offseason.
Our view: When Winston, who was asking questions for FOX during Super Bowl media day on Monday, asked Saquon Barkley which team would sign him in free agency, Barkley threw a jab at the Giants, whose refusal to re-sign him led him to the rival Eagles. "I think New York needs a quarterback right now," Barkley said. The Giants, who don't have a quarterback on the roster, obviously need a new signal caller. And while they'll probably look to take one with the No. 3 pick in the 2025 NFL Draft, Winston, who threw for 2,121 passing yards with 13 touchdowns and 12 interceptions in Cleveland, could be a decent bridge. Winston noted: "I'm a free agent; I don't really get no job." Stay tuned.
Atlanta Falcons QB Kirk Cousins (shoulder) recently told Good Morning Football: Overtime that he 'got hit pretty good' in his right shoulder and elbow in Week 10 against the New Orleans Saints and 'never could get it really to where I wanted it.'
Our view: After his late-season benching in Atlanta, Cousins' future with the Falcons is uncertain. First-round rookie Michael Penix Jr. usurped the veteran quarterback in Week 16 of the 2024 season, and the first-year man proved he is Atlanta's QB of the immediate future. Where does that leave the 36-year-old Cousins? The first order of business is getting healthy. Cousins, who believes the lingering effects from the 2023 injury and additional knocks in '24 contributed to his subpar performance, said, "If we can do that, [I] feel like I got a new life ahead of me in pro football." Does that new life include serving as Penix's backup? Or can Cousins find a starting job elsewhere in the coming weeks? Money is a factor. Cousins still has three years remaining on his massive deal with Atlanta and carries a cap number of $40 million in '25. While that complicates matters, NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reported in December that Cousins' release is the most likely outcome.
New York Giants PK Mason Crosby announced his retirement Tuesday, Feb. 4.
Our view: "My 17 seasons in the NFL surpassed all of my childhood hopes and dreams," Crosby wrote on social media. He played 16 of those seasons with the Packers, where he became the franchise's all-time leading scorer. His 1,939 points are 11th in NFL history. His records are more than secure. His 1,918 points with the Packers are 864 more than Ryan Longwell's 1,054 in second place. His 395 field goals with the Packers top the franchise mark as well. Longwell's 169 is a distant second. Crosby's last season for the Packers was in 2022. After the season, the team moved in a different direction at kicker. Crosby, 40, wasn't ready to call it quits, however. He finished his career with the New York Giants late in the 2023 season. He didn't play in 2024.
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